Mauritius Economic Outlook: Moderate Growth, Easing Inflation and Fiscal Consolidation

Mauritius’ latest economic picture shows steady but moderate growth, inflation easing within target, and a focus on fiscal consolidation plus new initiatives in digital and “blue/green” sectors.

Growth and outlook

•  Recent data point to GDP growth around 4.9% in 2024, with projections in the 3–4% range toward 2026 as tourism and financial services remain key drivers.

•  The World Bank and other forecasters see growth stabilizing near 3.4% in 2026–2027, with poverty gradually declining if reforms and investment continue.

Inflation and interest rates

•  Headline inflation eased to about 4–4.5% in late 2025, within the central bank’s 2–5% target range and expected to trend toward roughly 3.6–3.7% in 2026.

•  The Bank of Mauritius has kept its key repo rate at 4.5%, citing the need to anchor expectations while inflation normalizes and global uncertainty remains elevated.

Fiscal policy and budget

•  The 2025/26 national budget is built on economic renewal, fiscal consolidation, and a new social order, aiming to strengthen resilience and productivity.

•  The budget deficit is projected to narrow from about 9.8% of GDP to 4.9% in 2025/26 and further toward roughly 1–2% by 2027/28.

Key sectors and investment themes

•  Government priorities include tourism, financial services, renewable energy, the ocean (“blue”) economy, ICT, and pharmaceuticals, with medium term GDP growth targeted around 3.5–4.5%.

•  New initiatives highlight Mauritius as a regional hub, including efforts to attract FDI and position the country in sustainable finance and the wider Africa–Asia economic corridor.

Latest structural and “green/blue” developments

•  Recent commentary emphasizes investment opportunities in Mauritius’ green and blue economy, tying together climate resilience, marine resources, and tourism.

•  Policy documents and outlook reports underline the need to manage risks from global slowdown, tariffs, and climate change while leveraging stronger tourism and trade agreements



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